{"id":477,"date":"2025-08-07T15:14:32","date_gmt":"2025-08-07T19:14:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/?p=477"},"modified":"2025-08-07T15:15:06","modified_gmt":"2025-08-07T19:15:06","slug":"can-artificial-intelligence-help-us-fund-public-health-more-effectively","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/can-artificial-intelligence-help-us-fund-public-health-more-effectively\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Artificial Intelligence Help Us Fund Public Health More Effectively?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>By Dr. Marco Vinicio Benavides S\u00e1nchez<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Imagine your country has a limited health budget. How do you decide what to invest in first? Hospitals, vaccines, mental health care, disease prevention? And most importantly: how can you tell if those decisions truly improve population health?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For years, this has been a complex, slow, and costly task. But now, a group of researchers proposes an innovative solution: using artificial intelligence to better understand how public health funds are distributed\u2014and doing so with greater precision, speed, and transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83e\udde0 <strong>What Are Scientists Proposing?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Daniele Guariso, Rilwan Adewoyin, Gisela Robles Aguilar, Omar A. Guerrero, and Alisha Davies have developed a system that uses large language models\u2014like those powering tools such as ChatGPT\u2014to help plan public health spending. Their proposal was recently published in the journal <em>Artificial Intelligence in Medicine<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What makes this approach special is that it not only automates complex tasks, such as linking budget items to health indicators, but also incorporates something fundamental: a measure of uncertainty. In other words, it doesn\u2019t just say \u201cthis might work,\u201d but also \u201cthis is more or less reliable.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfe5 <strong>Why Is Health Budget Planning So Difficult?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Public health doesn\u2019t depend solely on hospitals or medications. It\u2019s also influenced by factors like education, transportation, housing, and the environment. That\u2019s why experts insist on a holistic view: improving health means understanding how different sectors interact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But putting that vision into practice is challenging. Governments must decide how to allocate budgets and link each expense to concrete health outcomes. This process, known as <em>budget tagging<\/em>, is usually done manually by policy and health economics experts. The problem? It\u2019s slow, expensive, and can be biased by personal opinions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83e\udd16 <strong>CPUQ: A Tool That Thinks\u2026 and Doubts<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is where artificial intelligence comes into play. The proposed system, called <strong>CPUQ (Categorical Perplexity-based Uncertainty Quantification)<\/strong>, uses language models trained on millions of texts to analyze budget descriptions and relate them to health indicators.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But CPUQ doesn\u2019t just make predictions. It also estimates how confident those predictions are. Why does this matter? Because in public health, making decisions based on unreliable data can have serious consequences. Knowing when a model \u201cdoubts\u201d is just as important as knowing what it \u201cbelieves.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udcca <strong>How Does CPUQ Work?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Imagine a map where each point represents a budget item (like \u201cprimary care\u201d or \u201chospital infrastructure\u201d) and another point represents a health indicator (like \u201cinfant mortality\u201d or \u201caccess to medical services\u201d). CPUQ creates connections between these points using natural language descriptions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s fascinating is that these connections aren\u2019t arbitrary. When compared to those made by human experts, the results are surprisingly similar. And in some cases, CPUQ identifies subtler relationships\u2014like how child poverty can affect access to medical care\u2014something other AI systems struggle to detect with such precision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udd0d <strong>What Does \u201cUncertainty\u201d Mean in This Context?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most current AI models tend to be \u201coverconfident\u201d in their answers, even when they\u2019re wrong. CPUQ changes that logic. Instead of giving a single answer, it generates probabilistic distributions\u2014a way of saying \u201cthis is what we believe, but here\u2019s the margin of error.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This transparency is key. It allows policymakers to make better-informed decisions, understand risks, and place greater trust in AI for sensitive areas like health.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udf0d <strong>Where Could It Be Applied?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CPUQ\u2019s potential is vast. Governments, international agencies, and NGOs could use it to improve resource allocation, especially in countries where time and money are limited.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Moreover, since the system is based on natural language, it can easily adapt to different languages and institutional contexts. This makes it an ideal tool for advancing the global goal of \u201cHealth for All,\u201d especially in resource-limited regions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83d\udca1 <strong>Why Does It Matter?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a world where health systems face increasingly urgent crises\u2014from pandemics to climate change and social inequality\u2014planning isn\u2019t enough: we must plan intelligently, swiftly, and transparently. CPUQ doesn\u2019t just speed up analysis\u2014it sheds light on it.<br>And most revealing of all: it shows that artificial intelligence doesn\u2019t have to be a black box that imposes answers. It can be an ethical compass, a critical tool that helps us not just decide\u2014but decide better. More than technology, CPUQ is an invitation to think humanely in times of algorithms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>To read more:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Guariso, D., Adewoyin, R., Robles Aguilar, G., Guerrero, O. A., &amp; Davies, A. (2025). A generalized LLMs framework to support public health financing through probabilistic predictions and uncertainty quantification. <em>Artificial Intelligence in Medicine<\/em>, 168, 103203. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.artmed.2025.103203\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.artmed.2025.103203<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>#ArtificialIntelligence #Medicine #Surgery #Medmultilingua<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Dr. Marco Vinicio Benavides S\u00e1nchez. Imagine your country has a limited health budget. How do you decide what to invest in first? Hospitals, vaccines, mental health care, disease prevention? And most importantly: how can you tell if those decisions truly improve population health? For years, this has been a complex, slow, and costly task&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":481,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-477","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=477"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":485,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/477\/revisions\/485"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/481"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=477"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=477"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medmultilingua.com\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=477"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}